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Bridge: Two level preempts

Frelling Two bids

Frelling is a variant of the Assumed Fit preempting style The following system notes were sent into the Weak Two Archive by Richard Willey, correspondent of rec.games.bridge They are published as received with minimal editing to transform to HTML format.

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Frelling Two Bids

The "Frelling" Two Bid preemptive structure is a comprehensive implementation of the "assumed fit" preemptive style initially developed and popularized by Bjørn Ekren. Standard preemptive styles used in North America are based on the assumption that a single suited hand pattern is required to provide weak hands with adequate playing strength. Ekren recognized that a two level opening bid promising four or more cards in two suits will typically allow the partnership to scramble to playable fit at the two level. Accordingly, Ekren developed a preemptive 2D opening promising 4+ cards in both majors that is often based on a balanced 4432 hand pattern. The Ekrens assumed fit preemptive style is becoming increasingly popular outside of North America. Being able to open the highly frequent 44xx and 54xx hand patterns at the two level with a LAW protected bid can be an extremely powerful preemptive weapon.

The development of the Frelling Two bid opening structure was based on a number of explicit design goals. First: I wanted to adopt a system of natural and non-forcing opening bids. Non-forcing bids put much more pressure on the opponents due to the high likelihood that responder will pass the opening bid. Adopting a natural preemptive structure forces Left Hand Opponent to use his limited bidding space to describe many more types of hands. Correspondingly, significantly more pressure is place on the opponents' overcall structure.

Note that Ekren's original 2D opening bid has some significant constructive advantages. Most notably after the auction 2D - (x), responder can use pass to show a Heart preference with Spade tolerance and xx to show a Spade preference with Heart tolerance. For example, after 2D - (x), pass holding 2344 shape. This improves the chance that the partnership can scramble to their best fit. However, I believe that it is better to maximize the pressure with the initial opening bid.

Second: the two diamond, two heart, and two spade openings should be very frequent. Traditional preemptive styles in which two level opening bids show a single suited hand with 6322 or 6331 shapes are certainly useful when you are dealt the appropriate hand pattern. However, in comparison the Frelling 2H opening occurs five times as often as a traditional single suited preempt. The Frelling 2D opening occurs almost nine times as often.

Third: any preemptive opening structure needs to be safe. The preemptive opening structure should not leave our partnership unduly exposed to penalty oriented methods. The preemptive methods must allow partner to scramble to a safe fit on most hands. However, we accept that our partnership will be dealt the occasional hand that is poorly suited for these methods.

Finally: the preemptive structure should be constructive. Applying these methods against strong opponents with well prepared defenses should lead to a positive expected score.

Frelling Two Bids: Summary

2 Diamond Opening
Shape
4+ Diamonds and 4+ cards in either major
Could be 4432, but not 5440 or 4441
Restrictions
Requires at least Qxxx or any xxxxx in a major
2 Heart Opening
Shape
4+ Hearts and 4+ Spades) or (4+ Hearts and 5+ Clubs)
Could be 4432, but not 5440 or 4441
Restrictions
Requires at least Qxxx or xxxxx in either major
2 Spade Opening
Shape
6+ Spades (6322, 6331, or 7222 shape)
or    4+ Spades and 5+ Clubs (not 5440)
Restrictions
Requires at least Qxxx or xxxxx Spades

A series of Monte-Carlo simulations was used to evaluate this preemptive opening structure against the design criteria. The first simulation measured the relative frequency of the suggested opening structure compared to a traditional opening style in which two level preempts show single suited hands with 6322 or 6331 shape. For the purpose of this simulation issues such as strength range or suit quality were ignored. The only consideration was what percentage of hands had the appropriate shape for the opening bids.

Individual players might have very different ideas regarding suit quality restrictions for the various opening bids. It seemed most accurate to eliminate suit quality requirements altogether during the initial simulations.

Traditional weak 2H/S
2.3%
Suggested 2D Opening
19.2%
Suggested 2H Opening
13.1%
Suggested 2S Opening
5.7%

The second simulation measured the safety of the preemptive opening style. Our goal was to simulate the frequency with which a preemptor would be able to successfully scramble to an eight+ card fit opposite a 2D or 2H opening compared to players using traditional preemptive methods. Responder will scramble whenever his diamond length is less than or equal to his length in each major.

The percentage chance that the partnership will successful scramble to an 8+ card fit can be modeled as the percentage chance that [responder does not scramble and the partnership has an 8+ card diamond fit] plus [the percentage chance that responder does scramble, opener's hearts are greater than his spades, and the partnership has an 8+ card hearts fit] plus [the percentage chance that responder does scramble, opener's spades are greater than his hearts, and the partnership has an 8+ card spade fit].

Simulations show that following a two diamond opening, the partnership will be able to scramble to an 8+ card fit at the two level approximately 64.6% of the time. A similar analysis was performed for the two heart opening and found that the partnership is able to scramble to an eight card fit in Hearts, Spades, or Clubs 66.4% of the time. Both opening bids will identify a seven+ card fit 90% of the time. In this case, the more traditional preemptive style does come out ahead. Opposite a single suited preempt showing 6322 or 6331 hand type, the partnership will have an 8+ card fit in the bid major on about 76.4% of all hands. However, as an interesting point of comparison, "aggressive" players in the North America are frequently including 5332 or 54xx hand patterns inside their 2M opening bids. A 2M opening based on a 54xx or 5332 hand pattern will hit an eight card fit in the bid major approximately 54.3% of the time. Players who are interested in adopting a more aggressive preemptive structure might find assumed fit methods to be a safe alternative to highly undisciplined single suited preempts.

The last important question that needs to be considered is whether these preempts will typically allow the partnership to achieve a positive score against strong opponents using effective counter measures. My own experience with these opening bids suggests that there is a distinct relationship between the strength range shown by the opening and the partnerships expected result. These bids are much more effective when they are anchored by a light opening system such as MOSCITO then when used in conjunction with a very sound opening style. There are two main reasons that explain this observation. First, while the 2D and 2H opening bids are highly obstructive to the opponents, they also impede the ability of our own partnership to exchange information. Delicate slam explorations can be difficult following one of these openings. The weaker the strength range of the opening preempt, the less likely that responder will have a hand that is strong enough to require a delicate slam inquiry. The response structure can be better optimized if the focus is restricted to part score and game decisions.

Second, the weaker the strength range shown by the opening bid, the more likely that responder will pass the preemptive opening holding a "strong" hand. In turn, this puts much more pressure on the opponent sitting in the balancing position. Simply put, when an opponent is judging whether to balance, a weaker range for the opening bid leaves more HCP strength unaccounted for. This in turn provides more opportunities for the opponents to guess wrong, and increases the opportunity to extract a good result opposite a bad balancing decision.

Frelling Two Bids: Response Schedule

We suggest a basic response for use over the different opening bids. A number of explicit design criteria were used when creating the response structure. In discussing the design criteria, I will use the 2D for my examples, however, the same basic structure is used over the 2H opening bid.

Two Diamonds Opening
3H = Pass or Correct
3D = Preemptive raise of Diamonds
3C = Asking bid: Opener will clarify his heart holding and range
4H = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, no side control
4D = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Diamonds
4C = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Clubs
3NT = 5 Hearts and a maximum hand
3S = 4 Hearts and a maximum hand
3H = 4+ Hearts and a minimum hand
3D = Diamonds and Spades, any strength
3S = Invites 4S with a maximum
3H = Asks for Spade length and range
2NT = Relay for Shape/Range
3NT = 6 Spades and a maximum
3S = 5 Spades and a maximum
3H = 4 Spades and a maximum
3D = Any minimum hand
3C = Hearts and a maximum
2S = Puppet to 2NT
3S = To play
3H = Game invitational single suited hand with Hearts
3D = Invitational hand with Spades (denies Hearts)
4S = 6 Spades, maximum hand, no side control
4H = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Hearts
4D = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Diamonds
4C = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1s/2nd round control in Clubs
3NT = 5 Spades and a maximum hand
3S = 4 Spades and a minimum hand
3H = 4 Spades and a maximum hand
Pass = Any hand with Hearts
3C = To play
2H = Pass or Correct

Specific auctions for a number of different hand types will be used to show how the suggested response structure fulfills the design criteria.

Hand type 1:  Responder wants to invite game if opener holds a maximum
hand with 4+ Hearts. Responder wants to play in 3D opposite any hand with Spades.

Auction: 2D - 3C Opener will rebid 3D holding Diamonds and Spades
Opener will rebid 3H with Hearts and a minimum.
Opener will rebid 3N+ with Hearts and a maximum

Hand type 2: Responder wants to invite game if opener holds a maximum hand with 4+ Spades.
Responder wants to play in 3D opposite any hand with Hearts.

Auction: 2D - 2S, 2NT - 3D Opener will pass holding Hearts Opener will rebid 3S holding Spades and a minimum
Opener will rebid 3H+ holding Spades and a maximum

Hand type 3: Responder holds a game invitational hand with 4+ cards in both majors.
Responder wants to invite game if opener has a maximum hand.

Auction: 2D - 3C If opener shows Hearts and a maximum, bid 4H If Opener rebids 3D showing Spades (any strength hand),
responder will bid 3S to invite 4S opposite a maximum hand.

Hand type 4: Responder wants to invite 3NT if responder has a maximum hand.
Responder is willing to play 3D if opener holds any minimum.

Auction: 2D - 2N
Opener will rebid 3D with any minimum hand.
Opener other rebids will show maximum hands and indicate responder's major and their length.
(After the auction 2D - 2NT - 3C, a 3D rebid asks for Heart length)

Hand type 5: Responder holds a single suited hand with Hearts and game invitational strength

Auction: 2D - 2S Responder will rebid 3H after opener's 2NT rebid

Hand type 6: Responder holds a single suited hand with Spades and game invitational strength

Auction: 2D - 2N
After a 3C or 3D response, responder will rebid 3S showing a single suited hand with Spades and game invitational strength Hand type 7: Responder wants to drop dead in clubs Auction: 2D - 2S Responder will rebid 3C after opener's 2NT rebid.
{Some players may prefer to treat this auction as showing a single suited hand
with clubs and game invitational values. Opener will rebid 3NT with a suitable maximum}

Hand type 8: Responder wants to drop dead in Diamonds

Auction 2D - 3D (or 2D - Pass)

Hand type 9: Responder wants to drop dead in Hearts

Auction 2D - 2H (Pass or correct)
Responder will rebid 3H over opener's 2S.
(Alternatively, responder might want to start with a 3C bid,
intending to rebid 3H over the expected 3D response)

Hand type 10: Responder wants to drop dead in Spades

Auction 2D - 2S Responder will rebid 3S after opener's 2NT rebid.
Two Hearts Opening
3S = Pass or Correct
3H = Preemptive raise of Hearts
3D = Asking bid: Opener will clarify his Spade holding and range
4H = 6 Spades, maximum hand, no side controls
4D = 6 Spades, maximum hand, Diamond control
4C = 6 Spades, maximum hand, Club control
3NT = 4-5 Spades and a maximum hand
3S = 4 Spades and a minimum hand
3H = Hearts and Clubs and a minimum
3C = Relay for Shape/Range
3NT = 5+ Spades and a maximum
3S = 4 Spades and a maximum
3H = Any minimum hand
3D = Hearts and Clubs and a maximum
2NT = Puppet to 3C 3S = Single suited hand with Spades, invites 4S opposite suitable hand
3H = Game invitational single suited hand with Hearts
3D = Asking bid: Invites 4H opposite a maximum
4H = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Hearts
4D = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control in Diamonds
4C = 6 Hearts, maximum hand, 1s/2nd round control in Clubs
3NT = 5 Hearts and a maximum hand
3S = 4 Hearts and a maximum hand
3H = Any minimum hand
Pass = to play
2S = Pass or correct
Two Spades Opening
3S = 4+ Spades
Forces 4S opposite a single suited hand
Invites 4S opposite 4 Spades and maximum
3H = Natural, invitational to 4H opposite suitable hand
3D = Natural, non-forcing
3C = Natural, non-forcing
2NT = Asking bid
4S = 6 Spades, maximum hand
4H = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control
4D = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control
4C = 6 Spades, maximum hand, 1st/2nd round control
3NT = Maximum hand, 5-5 shape
3S = 6 Spades, minimum hand
3H = Spades and Clubs, maximum hand, 3 card fragment
3D = Spades and Clubs, maximum hand, 3 card fragment
3C = Spades and Clubs, any minimum hand


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